Interest Rates

Three Challenges in 2014

Three Challenges in 2014

2 min readAbstract We elaborate on three key challenges for corporate cash investors in 2014: the emergence of new financial regulations, anticipation of a steeper yield curve, and proliferation of innovative products. As a number of financial regulations reach the stage of implementation, short-duration investors will start to feel the impact of regulatory initiatives. Even though higher…

What’s the Tapering Talk Got to Do with Us?

What’s the Tapering Talk Got to Do with Us?

2 min readAbstract We do not foresee a meaningful rise in short-term interest rates even as the Fed may begin tapering bond purchases. The fed funds rate, the key factor affecting short-term rates, likely will not start to rise prior to mid-2015. Investors should continue to look for opportunities further up the yield curve with separate account…

Three Challenges for Corporate Cash Investors in 2013

Three Challenges for Corporate Cash Investors in 2013

2 min readAbstract We have identified the acceleration of money market fund reform, the scarcity of eligible investments and the threat of negative yield as three challenges facing corporate treasury professionals in 2013. Our recommendation remains the same as found in previous research – consider a separately managed account as a defensive measure against regulatory uncertainty, supply…

Operation Twist

Operation Twist

3 min readAbstract The almost comical sounding term “Operation Twist” has been creeping into the financial media since last December as Federal Reserve officials and market commentators discussed innovative ways to revive the stagnant economy. This phrase became a household name on September 21st, when the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) decided to simultaneously buy $400 billion…

Redefining Cash: The Threat of Negative Yield on Corporate Treasury Management

Redefining Cash: The Threat of Negative Yield on Corporate Treasury Management

3 min readAbstract Treasury rates may remain at zero or negative levels for a prolonged period and additional banks may begin to charge “extraordinary deposits” fees, pushing depositors back into the money markets. It just may be a matter of time before many, if not most, treasurers are confronted with negative portfolio yield. Private and public sector…

Four Steps to Prudently Pursue Yield

Four Steps to Prudently Pursue Yield

1 min readAbstract With the Fed on hold for an extended period, institutional cash investors need a new perspective on dealing with the prolonged low yield reality. Our four-step guide reminds investors to expect lower yields in the new environment, increase exposure only to securities supported by strong fundamentals, improve yield potential with moderate maturity extension, and…

Coping with Zero Percent Treasury

Coping with Zero Percent Treasury

2 min readExecutive Summary Investment Considerations: Government Sponsored Enterprises Government Money Market Funds FDIC TLGP Guaranteed Debt Foreign Government Guaranteed Debt Beware Certain “Industrial” Credits Institutional cash investors found themselves in a pickle when the market’s desire for safety made treasury securities and treasury money market funds inaccessible. However, when the default option is no longer an…

Unconventional Times Call for An Unconventional Fed

Unconventional Times Call for An Unconventional Fed

3 min readExecutive Summary From administering aggressive interest rate cuts to providing longer-term liquidity to financial firms; from accepting non-traditional asset collateral to assisting the Bear Stearns takeover by JPMorgan Chase; this Federal Reserve is unlike any we have seen in recent history. By throwing out the rulebook of central banking, some pundits say the Fed sets…

Is the End Near?  How History May Show When the Fed Will Stop Raising Interest Rates

Is the End Near? How History May Show When the Fed Will Stop Raising Interest Rates

2 min readExecutive Summary With 400 basis points of Fed Funds rate increases over the past 24 months, investors are rightfully anxious about the impact of the Fed tightening policy. Our study finds that historically falling core CPI data tends to encourage the Fed to stop raising rates. Other key indicators, however, do not seem to have…