Interest Rates

Disruptions and Fed Tightening

Disruptions and Fed Tightening

3 min readThe global economic landscape and cash investing have experienced sizeable market shifts in the past year due to the ongoing disruptions to supply chains, geopolitical tensions with the conflict in Ukraine, rising inflation across the globe and the Federal Reserve’s interest rate tightening cycle. Institutional cash investors will need to monitor all these ongoing disruptions…

LIBOR No More

LIBOR No More

6 min readLIBOR entered its next phase on January 1st, 2022. The date marked when no new financial contracts could be priced off LIBOR, which underpinned more than $200 trillion in loans , contracts, and derivatives as of the end of 2020. LIBOR (the London Interbank Offered Rate) will still be published as a reference rate for…

Rates, Supply Chain, ESG and Stablecoins: Three (+1) Themes to Watch in 2022

Rates, Supply Chain, ESG and Stablecoins: Three (+1) Themes to Watch in 2022

16 min readIntroduction It has been our tradition to offer up three broad themes that will likely have the greatest impact on cash investments in the new year. After the research staff endured 20 months of work-from-home, I wanted to reward endurance by inviting them to each pick a theme for this look-ahead piece, hence the “three…

Vaccines, ESG and LIBOR Replacement – Three Themes to Watch in 2021

Vaccines, ESG and LIBOR Replacement – Three Themes to Watch in 2021

18 min readWe identify three themes to watch for cash investors each year. For 2021, we focus on vaccines, ESG and LIBOR replacement. DOWNLOAD FULL REPORT Introduction At the start of each year, we typically name three broad themes that we think will have the greatest potential impact on the short-term debt markets. Our 2020 picks posed…

Election Results: What Does Biden Administration Mean for Investors?

Election Results: What Does Biden Administration Mean for Investors?

5 min readThe 2020 election was an arduous and, in some ways, incredible process, with the unprecedented number of mail-in ballots resulting in record turnout, but also a significant delay in announcing the winner. Nevertheless, we know that Joe Biden will be the next President of the United States come January. In all likelihood he will face…

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Interest Rate Outlook: The Fed’s Inflation Target

2 min readFed officials are committed to the current level of rates until inflation exceeds 2% Several Fed officials spoke in late September on the timing of future interest rate hikes in relation to the inflation target of 2%. Chicago Fed President Evans reversed his earlier position that the Fed could start raising rates before inflation reaches…

Government Yield Curves are Flat and Low

Government Yield Curves are Flat and Low

2 min readFOMC Minutes Released The minutes from the FOMC’s July 28-29 meeting were released today. In the committee’s discussion about how to continue to support the flow of credit to consumers, they deemed “it would be appropriate over coming months for the Federal Reserve to increase its holdings of Treasury securities and agency residential mortgage-backed securities…

Navigating Downgrades During COVID-19

Navigating Downgrades During COVID-19

5 min readThe coronavirus pandemic has forced firms across industry groups to shore up liquidity in order to weather depressed revenue streams. These conditions, coupled with accommodative economic policies, led to a spur of borrowing during the first half of 2020. Due to this current climate, many companies are having trouble finding solid financial footing, leading to…