Credit Risk

How Safe Are Money Market Funds? Risk Assessment and Selection Criteria

How Safe Are Money Market Funds? Risk Assessment and Selection Criteria

2 min readExecutive Summary Since the introduction of the first fund in 1972, institutional money market funds have gained a well deserved position in most corporate cash portfolios, thanks to their safety, constant share price, liquidity, and competitive yield. But money market fund investing is not risk-free. In the last 15 years, at least one institutional fund…

Stepping Out of Buy & Hold: A Corporate Treasurer’s Perspective on Total Return Investment Strategies

Stepping Out of Buy & Hold: A Corporate Treasurer’s Perspective on Total Return Investment Strategies

2 min readExecutive Summary The most compelling argument for total return strategies is demonstrated by a difference of 1.73% in annualized returns between the 1-month and the 1-3 year Treasury benchmarks in the 1995-2004 period. The return difference translates into $26.6 million for a hypothetical investment with a starting value of $100 million. Even though neither of…

Demystifying Asset-Backed Commercial Paper: Opportunities, Risks and Practical Considerations

Demystifying Asset-Backed Commercial Paper: Opportunities, Risks and Practical Considerations

1 min readExecutive Summary ABCP can be a good investment choice in large corporate treasury accounts due to the depth, liquidity, flexibility, and yield potential of the asset class. ABCP gained popularity recently because increased event risk of corporate names resulted in concern about unsecured commercial paper. A potential investor of ABCP should carefully review the strength…

When to Choose a Single Over a Double

When to Choose a Single Over a Double

2 min readResearch Highlights The ratio of roughly 3 to 1 single-A vs. double-A issuers suggests a liquid market sector and potential for better risk diversification. One-year default probability but a single-A corporate issuer was 0.02% in the last 10 years. Investing in single-A securities would have increased cumulative credit losses by 0.20% over a five-year span…

Treading Merck-y Waters: How to Cope with Event Risk?

Treading Merck-y Waters: How to Cope with Event Risk?

3 min readOn the day Merck announced the withdrawal of its arthritis drug Vioxx, its stock price closed down 27% from the previous day. By the time Moody’s downgraded Merck’s debt to Aa2 40 days later, the formerly AAA-rated company had lost 42%, or $58 billion of its equity value. Is it time for investors of short-duration…

When AAA Does Not Mean Roadside Peace Of Mind

When AAA Does Not Mean Roadside Peace Of Mind

2 min readIntroduction Corporate treasurers frequently make investment decisions based on debt ratings from nationally recognized statistical rating agencies, namely Moody’s, Standard & Poor’s, and Fitch. This article addresses the credit risks of Auction Rate Securities (ARS) that are not adequately addressed by long-term credit ratings alone in short-term investment selections. Long-Term Ratings Do Not address Short-Term…

Fannie Is In Trouble Again. Shouldn’t You Care?

Fannie Is In Trouble Again. Shouldn’t You Care?

3 min readThe latest debacle at Fannie Mae is perhaps the deadliest in its existence as a Government Sponsored Enterprise (GSE). The latest discoveries by the Office of Federal Housing Enterprises Office (OFHEO) could ignite a firestorm that may result in dramatic makeovers at the very heart of the organization. As a corporate treasurer, should you sell…

Peeling Back the Onion: Uncovering the True  Risks of Student Loan Backed Auction Rate  Securities

Peeling Back the Onion: Uncovering the True Risks of Student Loan Backed Auction Rate Securities

2 min readMoody’s Review for Downgrade and Fitch Rating Watch Negative: AMS-3, 2003, LP, Class A-1 auction rate note (Aaa/AAA) AMS-3, 2003, LP, Class A-2 auction rate note (Aaa/AAA) AMS-3, 2003, LP, Class A-3 auction rate note (Aaa/AAA) AMS-3, 2003, LP, Class A-4 auction rate note (Aaa/AAA) AMS-3, 2003, LP, Class B auction rate note (A3/A) Opinion…

Seven Facts and Fiction about Auction Rate Securities

Seven Facts and Fiction about Auction Rate Securities

2 min readIntroduction Broker-dealers market Auction Rate Securities (ARS) to corporate clients as yieldier alternative investments to high-quality cash management vehicles. While the securities’ yield advantage over very short-duration (generally 28 or 35 days) bonds is possible, the brokers often fail to point out the price an investor pays in terms of liquidity given up, opportunities lost…