2 min readAbstract As Federal banking authorities work to implement rules to allow for the quick and efficient dissolution of too-big-to-fail banks, ratings once again are under assault, and most large U.S. banks could lose their access to the short-term markets toward the end of 2013. The anticipated negative rating moves will be the direct result of…
2 min readAbstract In this paper, we discuss the concept and benefits of constant risk aversion in cash portfolio construction. The process may help treasurers understand, gauge and rationalize investment decisions to achieve consistent risk characteristics and to avoid the whiplash that can result from drastic pendulum swings between high-risk and no-risk. The Need for a Constant…
2 min readAbstract Global banking authorities’ moves to resolve systemically important financial institutions (SIFIs) may result in first losses being borne by bank creditors in the event of a failure. Under the new resolution authority, size no longer may be an indication of safety for bank credit. Instead, one should look to a bank’s fundamental business condition…
2 min readAbstract Recent negative bank ratings actions foretell a secular trend that capital markets-oriented banks are slipping toward the lower tier of investment-grade categories. We believe these ratings downgrades are more than a temporary phenomenon that is easily reversible. While the near-term effect on corporate treasury portfolios will likely be manageable, long-term ramifications require more investor…
1 min readAbstract Recent developments in corporate cash investments resulted in portfolios of different risk characteristics having little yield differentiation. Popular cash vehicles, including prime money market funds, FDIC-insured transactional accounts and all-Treasury portfolios, require a fresh look in this new environment. Improving a portfolio’s risk/reward profile may involve diversification among cash vehicles, liquidity and maturity structures,…
3 min readAbstract The U.S. debt ceiling situation remains fluid, but we believe that a U.S. default is an extremely remote possibility. A ratings downgrade from AAA may be more likely due to the diminished prospect of a credible deficit reduction path. Market implications of such a downgrade may be greater than merely higher borrowing costs for…
2 min readAbstract AAA-rated fixed rate credit card ABS may be viable investments for corporate treasurers. Transparent asset collateral, servicer quality, potential sponsor support, relatively short maturity schedule, and soft-bullet structure are some of the sector’s advantages over other forms of ABS. The credit card ABS sector stood the test of time without significant ratings implications during…
2 min readAbstract A common misconception of risk diversification may be that additional credits automatically result in a safer portfolio. Today however, one of the primary challenges in developing a successful diversification strategy for short duration investors is a smaller pool of eligible investments. A mad dash into European financial debt, certain sovereign debt, municipal debt, and…
2 min readAs we enter the second decade of the new century, the world financial system has just emerged from a near death experience and embarked on a new journey of redefining itself. Having witnessed the subprime meltdown, the bankruptcy of Lehman Brothers, and the collapse of the Reserve Primary money market fund, corporate cash investment professionals…
3 min readOver the past two years, as we anticipated the credit cycle downturn, we gradually and methodically worked to reduce credit exposure in our managed portfolios. In light of the dramatic capital markets disruptions and the extreme market illiquidity after the bankruptcy of Lehman Brothers, we temporarily ceased purchases of all non-government guaranteed debt. Additionally, we…