Credit Risk

Navigating Downgrades During COVID-19

Navigating Downgrades During COVID-19

5 min readThe coronavirus pandemic has forced firms across industry groups to shore up liquidity in order to weather depressed revenue streams. These conditions, coupled with accommodative economic policies, led to a spur of borrowing during the first half of 2020. Due to this current climate, many companies are having trouble finding solid financial footing, leading to…

How to Navigate COVID-19 Credit and Interest Rate Risks

2 min readTrillions of dollars of support from the Fed have helped keep financial markets open. Trillions more from Congress are supporting consumers. But what will the next phase of the COVID-19 crisis bring? And what does it mean for institutional cash managers? You can find many of the answers in our latest research report, Institutional Cash…

How to Assess the Coronavirus Outbreak’s Impact on Liquidity Portfolios

How to Assess the Coronavirus Outbreak’s Impact on Liquidity Portfolios

17 min readDOWNLOAD FULL REPORT Abstract While the flood of information on the new coronavirus can be overwhelming, treasury professionals should consider how the outbreak may affect their liquidity portfolios. The consensus market view is that the epidemic will have a moderate and temporary impact on the world economy. We think the 2003 SARS epidemic and the…

Do BBB Corporate Bonds Belong in Treasury Management Portfolios?

Do BBB Corporate Bonds Belong in Treasury Management Portfolios?

13 min readCo-authored by: Matthew Paniati, CFA® DOWNLOAD FULL REPORT Abstract BBB-rated debt continues to offer new possibilities for cash investors. Though it involves taking on incremental credit risk, allowing the purchase of these securities may help alleviate supply shortages while also offering additional return opportunities. Should investors investigate adding BBB names to their portfolios, we recommend…

Demystifying ESG Investing

Demystifying ESG Investing

14 min readDOWNLOAD FULL REPORT Abstract The popularity of responsible investing has extended to the fixed income and liquidity management fields in recent years. Incorporating environmental, social and governance (ESG) issues in cash investment decisions makes sense as part of overall credit risk management. In addition to challenges related to disclosure, criteria, measure and verification, liquidity portfolios…

Corporate Leverage: Par for the Course or Harbinger of an Upcoming Crisis?

Corporate Leverage: Par for the Course or Harbinger of an Upcoming Crisis?

20 min readDOWNLOAD FULL REPORT Abstract As the post-recession credit cycle matures and a period of historically low interest rates ends, investors are paying increased attention to the rise of corporate leverage. Companies have borrowed heavily in the past decade to fund M&A activity and investor payouts. This has resulted in significant growth in BBB-rated debt for…

Commercial Paper May Help Diversify Risk and Improve Income Potential

2 min readA growing number of institutional cash investors seeking higher returns are turning to direct investments in commercial paper. Why? In part because prime money market funds no longer deliver an optimum combination of liquidity, safety and yield as they did in the past. Among other things, the SEC reforms two years ago resulted in a…

A Decade of the Commercial Paper Market and Its Role in Institutional Liquidity Portfolios

A Decade of the Commercial Paper Market and Its Role in Institutional Liquidity Portfolios

13 min readAbstract Many liquidity investors came to know commercial paper (CP) through holdings in prime money market funds (MMFs). We notice higher interest in direct CP investing since the 2016 MMF reform. This paper provides an overview of the market over the last decade and evaluates financial vs. non-financial, U.S. vs. foreign, and Tier 1 vs….

The Yield Curve as a Recession Indicator and its Effect on Bank Credit Quality

The Yield Curve as a Recession Indicator and its Effect on Bank Credit Quality

6 min readIs an inverted yield curve still a reliable predictor of an impending recession? And will the recent flattening yield curve affect bank credit quality? Currently, with the narrowest spread between the 2-Year U.S. Treasury bill and the 10-Year U.S. Treasury note since the 2007 recession, both those questions are on the minds of treasury professionals…