Economy & Rates

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Interest Rate Outlook: Political Battle Looms over Federal Reserve’s Emergency Programs

2 min readVaccine Progress Earlier this month, Pfizer and BioNTech announced that their COVID-19 vaccine proved to be more than 90% effective in early trial results, while Moderna reported that its version is 95% effective in protecting patients from the virus. Fed Chair Jerome Powell spoke with Bank of England governor Andrew Bailey and European Central Bank…

Election Results: What Does Biden Administration Mean for Investors?

Election Results: What Does Biden Administration Mean for Investors?

5 min readThe 2020 election was an arduous and, in some ways, incredible process, with the unprecedented number of mail-in ballots resulting in record turnout, but also a significant delay in announcing the winner. Nevertheless, we know that Joe Biden will be the next President of the United States come January. In all likelihood he will face…

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Implications of Coronavirus Vaccine Development

6 min readWith 48 potential SARS-CoV-2 vaccines now undergoing clinical trials on humans, there’s mounting hope that one or more will be available in 2021. But many unknowns remain, especially regarding potential financial implications for the pharmaceutical companies that produce them. Timing of their arrival, manufacturing capacity, distribution, levels of potential government support, overall costs, and final…

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Interest Rate Outlook: Inflation & Employment

2 min readInflation & Employment Readings on consumer inflation this week remained tame overall with wide variance around the average for certain components. CPI for September was up just 1.4% year-over-year and Core CPI was up 1.7% year-over-year. Weekly Initial Jobless Claims remain high at nearly 900,000 in the week ended October 10. Surging COVID-19 infection rates…

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Interest Rate Outlook: The Fed’s Inflation Target

2 min readFed officials are committed to the current level of rates until inflation exceeds 2% Several Fed officials spoke in late September on the timing of future interest rate hikes in relation to the inflation target of 2%. Chicago Fed President Evans reversed his earlier position that the Fed could start raising rates before inflation reaches…

Federal Reserve’s Economic Projections

Federal Reserve’s Economic Projections

2 min readFOMC Meeting The Federal Reserve left interest rates unchanged at yesterday’s meeting on monetary policy, and in the statement accompanying the meeting, the Fed commented that “Economic activity and employment have picked up in recent months but remain well below their levels at the beginning of the year.” And while “Overall financial conditions have improved…

Government Yield Curves are Flat and Low

Government Yield Curves are Flat and Low

2 min readFOMC Minutes Released The minutes from the FOMC’s July 28-29 meeting were released today. In the committee’s discussion about how to continue to support the flow of credit to consumers, they deemed “it would be appropriate over coming months for the Federal Reserve to increase its holdings of Treasury securities and agency residential mortgage-backed securities…

COVID-19 infection Rates Surge

COVID-19 infection Rates Surge

1 min readCOVID-19 infection rates have fallen dramatically in most industrialized nations, but new cases in the U.S. and in developing countries have surged to record levels in the last few weeks. Despite the serious setbacks, lawmakers in the U.S. continue to grapple with how to most appropriately implement mask requirements to slow the spread of the…