Economy & Rates

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Oil Markets in Flux

8 min readThe oil and gas industry is being hit hard from all sides, with a historic glut and a collapse in demand for oil occurring simultaneously. Given the current situation, drastic production cuts across the world will be necessary to support the oil market and limit its inevitable ripple effects on the broader world economy. While…

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Interest Rate Outlook: Bond Market Liquidity

2 min readFOMC Meeting The Federal Reserve has taken extraordinary steps over the past six weeks to shield the economy from the massive fallout of the virus pandemic, including emergency interest rate cuts, massive bond purchases and the opening of multiple lending facilities to provide liquidity and backstops to the fixed income markets. Following their regularly scheduled…

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Market Update (May 4, 2020)

1 min readWatch the webcast: Click the above webcast link for episode 1 of Market Update. Hosted by Capital Advisors Group’s Head of Trading, Anthony Cucinotta. Topics covered: Recap of Recent Market Events FOMC Rate Cut and Impact U.S. 1 Month Treasury Bill Analysis COVID-19 Impact on Short-term Investors Overview of OAS Adjusted Spreads Overview of FOMC…

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Interest Rate Outlook: Bond Market Liquidity Normalizing

2 min readEconomic Shutdown We are only just seeing initial readings on the state of the post-COVID 19 economy and much will unfold in the months ahead. Data released in early April reflects the dismal reality of the large-scale shutdown of the US economic growth engine. Jobless claims have surged to record levels, with more than 22…

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Interest Rate Outlook: Stimulus Plan

1 min readLargest Relief Package in U.S. History Signed On Friday, President Trump signed a $2 trillion stimulus plan following a 96-0 vote in the Senate and strong support in the House. The bill extends aid through direct payments and expanded unemployment insurance to many struggling Americans, provides loans and grants to businesses, supports draining state funds…

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Interest Rate Outlook: Coronavirus

2 min readCoronavirus While domestic economic growth began the year on solid footing, the worldwide spread of the coronavirus along with its effects on global supply chains and potential effects on aggregate demand are likely to dominate financial market movements through springtime. U.S. equity markets sank 15% last week in the fastest ever return to correction territory…

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Interest Rate Outlook: Monetary Policy Report

2 min readMonetary Policy Report In its semi-annual report to Congress submitted earlier this week, the FOMC stated that “The U.S. economy continued to grow moderately last year and the labor market strengthened further. With these gains, the current expansion entered its 11th year, becoming the longest on record.” The report noted that inflation remains below the…