Credit & Risk

Beyond Bank Deposits and Money Market Funds

2 min readEver since reforms inspired by the financial crisis required prime money market funds to float their net asset values, institutional cash investors have been searching for alternatives that will provide the same type of dollar-in, dollar-out liquidity, safety of principal and yield that the old prime funds offered. And now that the Fed’s interest-rate hikes…

The Yield Curve as a Recession Indicator and its Effect on Bank Credit Quality

The Yield Curve as a Recession Indicator and its Effect on Bank Credit Quality

6 min readIs an inverted yield curve still a reliable predictor of an impending recession? And will the recent flattening yield curve affect bank credit quality? Currently, with the narrowest spread between the 2-Year U.S. Treasury bill and the 10-Year U.S. Treasury note since the 2007 recession, both those questions are on the minds of treasury professionals…

A Decade After 2008, Counterparty Risk is a Growing Concern

2 min readOne of the great lessons we learned from the 2008 financial crisis was that the world is not as safe as we often think. That’s as true today as it was then, even after extensive industry and regulatory efforts aimed at the financial system. Corporate cash investors are confronting a financial landscape that’s even more…

Counterparty Risk Management for Corporate Treasury Functions

Counterparty Risk Management for Corporate Treasury Functions

11 min readAbstract Experience has taught us that counterparties can fail with little warning. Counterparty risk management has become more challenging in recent decades due to concentrated exposures, complex financial instruments and evolving bank credit. Corporate and treasury organizations should manage this risk proactively, have an integrated risk policy across business lines, diversify risk by setting exposure…

Fresh Perspectives on Asset-Backed Commercial Paper

2 min readIn the run-up to the 2008 financial crisis, asset-backed commercial paper (ABCP) programs were among the many investments tainted by the subprime mortgage meltdown. The crash precipitated a steady outflow from a total of $1.2 trillion in ABCP investments at their peak in late 2007 to $238 billion in October 2017. But in recent years,…

The Debt Limit with Complications from Money Market Funds

The Debt Limit with Complications from Money Market Funds

3 min readAbstract Debt limit negotiations often go down to the wire, generating headline risk and investor uneasiness. The yield on T-bills maturing around default date may be substantially higher than those maturing in neighboring months. The exponential growth in government money market funds since the 2016 regulatory reform increases contagion risk should shareholders and portfolio managers…

How to Lose a Little Less Sleep Over the Debt Limit

1 min readWho would have ever thought the debt ceiling limit would become a dinner-table topic? In the past, Congress routinely voted to approve higher limits on debt covering the spending it had already authorized, and hardly anyone noticed. But in 2011, the debt-ceiling vote became a political football, with authorization tied to contentious debates about limits…

Searching for Yield in the New Cash Management Landscape

1 min readRising interest rates may offer new opportunities for higher yields, but they also present institutional cash investors with fresh challenges. Ultra-conservative investment strategies no longer meet expectations for higher returns, so managers know they may need to move beyond a safe mix of Treasuries and FDIC-insured cash accounts. In an earlier era, their job would…

On a Path to Return on Investments

On a Path to Return on Investments

2 min readAbstract The return of yield opportunities presents institutional cash investors with fresh challenges. Higher rates have driven up the cost of staying with ultra conservative instruments. Money market fund reforms have left corporate cash managers with few clear choices to add yield. And historically popular cash vehicles that have undergone significant changes demand a fresh…

New CHOICE For Financial Reform

New CHOICE For Financial Reform

8 min readAmongst the numerous debates happening up on Capitol Hill, one that’s slipped under the radar is related to financial regulatory reform. On June 8th, with the whole of the country’s attention fixated on former FBI Director James Comey, the House of Representative passed the Financial CHOICE Act along party lines. The bill aims to rollback…