Credit & Risk

Apple Q2 Earnings: Share Buybacks, China, and AI

Apple Q2 Earnings: Share Buybacks, China, and AI

2 min readFor the quarter ending March 30th 2024, Apple reported net income of $23.6B, down 2.2% year-over-year, on revenues of $90.8B which were 4.3% lower over the same period. The change in revenues reflected a 14.2% increase in services revenue and a 9.5% decrease in product revenues. Of particular note, iPhone sales which accounted for about…

The Empire Strikes Back: Return of Oil and Gas Dominance for U.S. Integrated Energy

The Empire Strikes Back: Return of Oil and Gas Dominance for U.S. Integrated Energy

5 min readIntroduction Earlier this year, European oil majors BP and Shell announced that they would roll back their energy transition plans and keep oil and gas as relatively large parts of their portfolio. In October 2023, their American counterparts Exxon Mobil and Chevron doubled down on a collective $115 billion bet on fossil fuels. Exxon Mobil…

Commercial Real Estate: Finding the Next Shoe to Drop

Commercial Real Estate: Finding the Next Shoe to Drop

7 min readMacroeconomic Conditions The post-pandemic economy has had to contend with a rarely seen number of short-term disruptions and fundamental shifts to which it has mostly taken in stride. So far, we have avoided a widely broadcast recession, helped initially by huge amounts of pandemic related financial aid, and followed by a historically strong labor market…

Investing in the European Bank Debt Markets

Investing in the European Bank Debt Markets

6 min readWhat happened with Credit Suisse and what cash investors may be able to take away from the experience. Amidst the recent turmoil in the banking system, investors have taken a renewed interest in their bank debt holdings, particularly in the case of Credit Suisse. In a highly unusual move, regulators flipped the established creditor hierarchy…

Why SVB Was Unique

Why SVB Was Unique

9 min readWhat Led to The Bank’s Eventual Closure and What Lessons Cash Investors Can Learn From This to Minimize Portfolio Risk On March 8th, Silicon Valley Bank (SVB) announced a significant balance sheet restructuring and an associated $2.25 billion capital raise to shore up the bank’s financial position after rising rates and significant deposit outflows severely…

Growing Pains: The Emergence of Super-Regional Banks

Growing Pains: The Emergence of Super-Regional Banks

6 min readIn a speech given in April 2022, Acting Comptroller of the Currency Michael Hsu recalled the ‘chaos’ driven by a series of bank failures during the Global Financial Crisis (GFC) . This resulted in a flurry of acquisitions and unorderly liquidations thrown together to prevent further disruption to the financial system. This experience eventually led…

ESG: Auto Manufacturers Focus on Carbon Transition

ESG: Auto Manufacturers Focus on Carbon Transition

4 min readHow auto manufacturers are developing strategies for improved ESG ratings Over the past several years, auto manufacturers have been increasingly focused on reducing carbon emissions via improving vehicle fuel efficiency and transitioning their product lines to fully electric vehicles. This increasing focus isn’t unfounded: according to the International Energy Agency (IEA), the transportation sector accounted…