2 min readResearch Highlights The ratio of roughly 3 to 1 single-A vs. double-A issuers suggests a liquid market sector and potential for better risk diversification. One-year default probability but a single-A corporate issuer was 0.02% in the last 10 years. Investing in single-A securities would have increased cumulative credit losses by 0.20% over a five-year span…
3 min readOn the day Merck announced the withdrawal of its arthritis drug Vioxx, its stock price closed down 27% from the previous day. By the time Moody’s downgraded Merck’s debt to Aa2 40 days later, the formerly AAA-rated company had lost 42%, or $58 billion of its equity value. Is it time for investors of short-duration…
2 min readExecutive Summary Empirical data support the view that AAA-rated asset-backed securities provide comparable investment returns while incurring less credit risk and return volatility than AAA-rated corporate securities. The annual return advantage of ABS was 5 basis points (bps) over corporate securities in the last six years. The return pickup shot up to 41 bps annualized…
2 min readIntroduction Corporate treasurers frequently make investment decisions based on debt ratings from nationally recognized statistical rating agencies, namely Moody’s, Standard & Poor’s, and Fitch. This article addresses the credit risks of Auction Rate Securities (ARS) that are not adequately addressed by long-term credit ratings alone in short-term investment selections. Long-Term Ratings Do Not address Short-Term…
1 min readWhat is a Make-Whole Call? A make-whole call is a type of call provision in a bond allowing the borrower to pay off remaining debt early. The borrower has to make a lump sum payment to the holder derived from an earlier agreed upon formula based on the net present value (NPV) of future coupon…
3 min readThe latest debacle at Fannie Mae is perhaps the deadliest in its existence as a Government Sponsored Enterprise (GSE). The latest discoveries by the Office of Federal Housing Enterprises Office (OFHEO) could ignite a firestorm that may result in dramatic makeovers at the very heart of the organization. As a corporate treasurer, should you sell…
1 min readWhat are Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities? Treasury Inflation Protected Securities (TIPS), are inflation-indexed government bonds whose principal amount is adjusted periodically for inflation. A fixed interest rate is paid semi-annually on the adjusted amount. They may also be referred as Treasury Inflation-indexed Securities (TIIS). Overview of the TIPS Market Established in 1997 by the US Treasury,…
3 min readLast April, when Google Inc. unveiled its plan to use a Dutch style auction in its initial public offering, it brought the popularity of this peculiar way of setting securities prices to a new height. Meanwhile, a sea change has been taking place for several years that promises to redefine how debt issuers tap the…
2 min readMoody’s Review for Downgrade and Fitch Rating Watch Negative: AMS-3, 2003, LP, Class A-1 auction rate note (Aaa/AAA) AMS-3, 2003, LP, Class A-2 auction rate note (Aaa/AAA) AMS-3, 2003, LP, Class A-3 auction rate note (Aaa/AAA) AMS-3, 2003, LP, Class A-4 auction rate note (Aaa/AAA) AMS-3, 2003, LP, Class B auction rate note (A3/A) Opinion…
2 min readIntroduction Broker-dealers market Auction Rate Securities (ARS) to corporate clients as yieldier alternative investments to high-quality cash management vehicles. While the securities’ yield advantage over very short-duration (generally 28 or 35 days) bonds is possible, the brokers often fail to point out the price an investor pays in terms of liquidity given up, opportunities lost…