Credit & Risk

Volatile Times Call For Innovative Actions

2 min readAside from our own clients, in 17 years of helping guide Treasurers through the cash investment markets, I have never seen the corporate landscape littered with more casualties than today. Of all of the companies holding auction rate securities (ARS) today, an estimated 70% are experiencing regular auction failures and severe liquidity issues. In some…

The Risks of Greed and Fear

2 min readFor cash investors, there exists a delicate and sometimes frustrating balance between deciding to stretch for those additional 10 basis points in yield and the urge to recoil to treasuries when isolated liquidity issues arise. To make wholesale judgments of any asset class or investment sector can result in unfounded generalizations that are rarely based…

Seven Frequently Asked Credit Process Questions

Seven Frequently Asked Credit Process Questions

3 min readIntroduction In its most basic form, investing is all about understanding and managing risk. For fixed income securities, it’s more about managing credit and interest rate risk. And, understanding credit is of particular importance for corporate cash investors whose primary concerns are principal stability and liquidity, while attractive yield potential is often a secondary concern….

Anatomy of a Credit Crisis

Anatomy of a Credit Crisis

2 min readIn April 2007 increasing losses sustained by bonds with exposure to subprime mortgages became apparent. [See “The Subprime Flu,” April 2007] In the months that followed, this brought on a widespread credit contagion and took many investors by surprise. Among the hardest-hit areas was the short-term credit market that came to a screeching halt in…

The Next Big Buyout

The Next Big Buyout

2 min readExecutive Summary In the past year or so, LBO minefields started to appear in the “safe and sound” investment-grade credit landscape filled with A and AA-rated names. About 27% of the A-rated corporate index may be buyout targets. The LBO of Sallie Mae brings takeover risk to the “safe haven” financial sector. All of the…

The Subprime Flu

The Subprime Flu

2 min readWhen the obscurely named ABX.HE.BBB-.06-1 crawled from Wall Street trading computers into millions of living rooms through the national media last February, a system meltdown was fast approaching. The ABX isn’t an Internet worm; it is a specimen of “asset-backed credit default swaps,” or a quasi insurance policy on borderline investment-grade bonds repackaged from subprime…

True Colors of an “Auction” Market: What the SEC Unveiled in the Auction Rate Securities Market

True Colors of an “Auction” Market: What the SEC Unveiled in the Auction Rate Securities Market

2 min readExecutive Summary The recent SEC investigation into the auction rate securities market found “industry-wide” violations by 15 major brokerage firms of the Securities Act of 1933. We think that the violations uncovered by the SEC lend evidence to the opinion that the auction rate securities (ARS) market did not have the competitive bidding element. We…

How Safe Are Money Market Funds? Risk Assessment and Selection Criteria

How Safe Are Money Market Funds? Risk Assessment and Selection Criteria

2 min readExecutive Summary Since the introduction of the first fund in 1972, institutional money market funds have gained a well deserved position in most corporate cash portfolios, thanks to their safety, constant share price, liquidity, and competitive yield. But money market fund investing is not risk-free. In the last 15 years, at least one institutional fund…

Demystifying Asset-Backed Commercial Paper: Opportunities, Risks and Practical Considerations

Demystifying Asset-Backed Commercial Paper: Opportunities, Risks and Practical Considerations

1 min readExecutive Summary ABCP can be a good investment choice in large corporate treasury accounts due to the depth, liquidity, flexibility, and yield potential of the asset class. ABCP gained popularity recently because increased event risk of corporate names resulted in concern about unsecured commercial paper. A potential investor of ABCP should carefully review the strength…

When to Choose a Single Over a Double

When to Choose a Single Over a Double

2 min readResearch Highlights The ratio of roughly 3 to 1 single-A vs. double-A issuers suggests a liquid market sector and potential for better risk diversification. One-year default probability but a single-A corporate issuer was 0.02% in the last 10 years. Investing in single-A securities would have increased cumulative credit losses by 0.20% over a five-year span…