Economy & Rates

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June Unemployment Report Shows Beginning of Recovery

2 min readStates across the U.S. set multiple single day records for new COVID-19 cases this past week. On June 27th, Florida reported 9,500 new cases, breaking its own record for daily new cases, which it set just a day earlier. Driven primarily by Southern and Southwestern states, the surge has forced legislatures to act. Florida has…

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Interest Rate Outlook: Controversial May Employment Report

2 min readFOMC Meeting The Federal Reserve’s Open Market Committee met last week and Chair Jerome Powell spelled out a bleak outlook for the U.S. economy. The Fed’s year-end median expectation for the unemployment rate is 9.3%, with 2020 GDP growth projected at negative 6.50% and core PCE inflation at 1.0%. At the press conference following the…

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Managing Loan Covenants Amidst Pandemic Economic Impacts

4 min readWatch the webcast: Click the above video webcast by Capital Advisors Group EVP Stefan Spazek. Some managers of emerging growth companies who took out loans prior to the pandemic may now be confronting the prospect of violating covenants written into their debt agreements. Debt covenants are financial and/or performance-based requirements that lenders put on borrowers…

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Interest Rate Outlook: Markets Hopeful

2 min readProtesting Police Brutality Nationwide protests continued for the seventh day and night following the killing of George Floyd while in the custody of Minneapolis police. President Trump has considered invoking the Insurrection Act of 1807, which would allow the deployment of active-duty military personnel in response to civil unrest. The law was last used in…

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Credit Update: Institutional Cash Investments in the COVID-19 New Reality [Episode 1]

1 min readWatch the webcast: Click the above webcast link for episode 1 of Credit Update. Hosted by Capital Advisors Group’s Director of Investment Research and Strategy, Lance Pan. Topics covered: Recap of Recent Market Events How to Balance Credit Risk in a Portfolio During Times of Economic Volatility (e.g., COVID-19) Overview of Corporate Paper (CP) Bid-Ask…

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Oil Markets in Flux

8 min readThe oil and gas industry is being hit hard from all sides, with a historic glut and a collapse in demand for oil occurring simultaneously. Given the current situation, drastic production cuts across the world will be necessary to support the oil market and limit its inevitable ripple effects on the broader world economy. While…

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Interest Rate Outlook: Bond Market Liquidity

2 min readFOMC Meeting The Federal Reserve has taken extraordinary steps over the past six weeks to shield the economy from the massive fallout of the virus pandemic, including emergency interest rate cuts, massive bond purchases and the opening of multiple lending facilities to provide liquidity and backstops to the fixed income markets. Following their regularly scheduled…

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Market Update (May 4, 2020)

1 min readWatch the webcast: Click the above webcast link for episode 1 of Market Update. Hosted by Capital Advisors Group’s Head of Trading, Anthony Cucinotta. Topics covered: Recap of Recent Market Events FOMC Rate Cut and Impact U.S. 1 Month Treasury Bill Analysis COVID-19 Impact on Short-term Investors Overview of OAS Adjusted Spreads Overview of FOMC…

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Interest Rate Outlook: Bond Market Liquidity Normalizing

2 min readEconomic Shutdown We are only just seeing initial readings on the state of the post-COVID 19 economy and much will unfold in the months ahead. Data released in early April reflects the dismal reality of the large-scale shutdown of the US economic growth engine. Jobless claims have surged to record levels, with more than 22…