2 min readOn Friday afternoon, the FDIC took the failed Republic First Bank into receivership and the majority of the bank’s assets and liabilities were sold to Fulton Bank on the same day. We do not expect this bank failure to create systemwide turmoil similar to what we experienced in March of 2023 due to Republic First…
7 min readIntroduction The Bank of Japan’s (BOJ) meeting last month was perhaps the most consequential central bank meeting of the entire year. The BOJ raised interest rates by 10 bps to 0-0.10%, all-in-all a small amount in magnitude. However, this marked the first interest rate increase by the central bank in 17 years. Moreover, it marked…
12 min readAbstract In a falling interest rate environment, sensitivity related to uninsured deposits and income preservation argues for consideration of cash management vehicles outside of bank deposits and money market funds. While ultra short bond funds (USBFs) hold promise as potential yield enhancing tools, they may exhibit many of the same issues as prime funds, with…
10 min readDuring the weekend following Silicon Valley Bank’s collapse, it became apparent that the bank run which drove SVB to insolvency was spreading, placing extreme liquidity pressures on a few regional lenders. Bank balance sheets remained fundamentally stable, although, the volume and speed of deposit outflows at some banks was overwhelming available liquid resources. Many banks…
16 min readCo-Authored by Pate Campbell, Analyst CFA Managing the Risks Posed by Tightening Financial Conditions DOWNLOAD REPORT Executive Summary Financial conditions are tightening, primarily as a byproduct of the Fed’s interest rate hiking cycle. This portends that households and businesses may be less supportive of economic growth than they have been in the post-Covid period. Households…
7 min readMacroeconomic Conditions The post-pandemic economy has had to contend with a rarely seen number of short-term disruptions and fundamental shifts to which it has mostly taken in stride. So far, we have avoided a widely broadcast recession, helped initially by huge amounts of pandemic related financial aid, and followed by a historically strong labor market…
5 min readFollowing the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank, Signature Bank, and the sale of First Republic, there’s been an increasing interest by regulators to reform the US deposit insurance scheme to fully protect the banking system from future bank runs. The Perfect Storm for Bank Runs Panic among deposit holders lit the initial spark that led…
6 min readWhat happened with Credit Suisse and what cash investors may be able to take away from the experience. Amidst the recent turmoil in the banking system, investors have taken a renewed interest in their bank debt holdings, particularly in the case of Credit Suisse. In a highly unusual move, regulators flipped the established creditor hierarchy…
11 min readIntroduction The acquisition of Silicon Valley Bridge Bank’s (SVBB) loans and deposits from the FDIC by First Citizens Bank (FCB) resolved a major uncertainty for customers and depositors of the failed Silicon Valley Bank (SVB). The transaction allowed the FDIC to move on from the second largest bank failure in US history. SVB customers and…
2 min readIntroduction The single biggest credit risk for institutional cash investors lies in the large uninsured deposits they leave at their operating banks. Particularly at risk are uninsured balances at banks with less diversified business profiles and aggressive risk cultures that expose depositors to the risk of a bank run, which is difficult to predict and…