3 min readAbstract The almost comical sounding term “Operation Twist” has been creeping into the financial media since last December as Federal Reserve officials and market commentators discussed innovative ways to revive the stagnant economy. This phrase became a household name on September 21st, when the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) decided to simultaneously buy $400 billion…
3 min readAbstract Treasury rates may remain at zero or negative levels for a prolonged period and additional banks may begin to charge “extraordinary deposits” fees, pushing depositors back into the money markets. It just may be a matter of time before many, if not most, treasurers are confronted with negative portfolio yield. Private and public sector…
3 min readAbstract The U.S. debt ceiling situation remains fluid, but we believe that a U.S. default is an extremely remote possibility. A ratings downgrade from AAA may be more likely due to the diminished prospect of a credible deficit reduction path. Market implications of such a downgrade may be greater than merely higher borrowing costs for…
3 min readIntroduction How long does it take for “green shoots” to grow into a “soft patch”? For the U.S. economy, it has taken a little more than two years. In his famous 60 Minutes interview on March 15, 2009, Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke popularized the phrase “green shoots” to describe the growing confidence in the…
2 min readAbstract Our recent participation at the Securities and Exchange Commission (“SEC”) roundtable discussion on money market funds and systemic risk gave us the impression that the government is moving closer to a policy draft on money market fund reform. Despite overwhelming complaints, the floating net asset value (“NAV”) approach remains a top choice for the…
2 min read“Change is the law of life. And those who look only to the past or present are certain to miss the future.” — John F. Kennedy Abstract Collateralized commercial paper (CCP) made its debut last November to institutional cash investors. This new structure allows investors to purchase commercial paper from entities conducting term repos with…
3 min readAbstract Recent events related to government sponsored enterprise (GSE) reform have prompted short-duration investors to question the level and nature of government support for their debt issuance after December 31, 2012. The housing GSEs play a critical role in the U.S. mortgage market, representing 99% of all new mortgage-backed securities (MBS) issuance in recent years….
2 min readAbstract AAA-rated fixed rate credit card ABS may be viable investments for corporate treasurers. Transparent asset collateral, servicer quality, potential sponsor support, relatively short maturity schedule, and soft-bullet structure are some of the sector’s advantages over other forms of ABS. The credit card ABS sector stood the test of time without significant ratings implications during…
2 min readAbstract Credit risks in prime money market funds stem from investments in non-government securities. In reviewing credit concentrations in a group of AAA-rated prime funds representing 50% of industry prime fund assets, we found that fund managers improved credit and liquidity positions by boosting investments in U.S. Treasuries and repurchase agreements. As of December 31,…
3 min readMeet the New Year, same as the old – with a twist. In preparing our treasury investment strategy outlook for 2011, it seems there isn’t much we have not already seen or experienced in 2010 – an exceptionally low interest rate environment, the Eurozone sovereign debt crisis, and a wave of financial regulations. Indeed, we…